India's NIFTY50 index fell 1% to 24,301.30 points, and India's SENSEX index fell 1% to 80,476.70 points.Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.Ping An Securities: It is estimated that the overall net profit growth rate of listed banks will be 1% in 2025. Ping An Securities released the annual strategy report of the banking industry in 2025, saying that looking forward to 2025, the insufficient effective demand and the continuous pressure on asset-side pricing level are still important factors restricting the upward flexibility of bank profits. On the one hand, the inhibitory effect of insufficient effective demand on scale growth still exists, and it is estimated that the scale of new credit will be 17.9 trillion to 19.2 trillion yuan in 2025, corresponding to the year-end growth rate of 7.0%-7. On the other hand, the level of interest margin is also subject to the downward trend of asset-side pricing level, and factors such as LPR reduction, stock mortgage adjustment and implicit bond swap will continue to impact asset-side pricing. However, considering the acceleration of the reduction of deposit listing interest rate, the improvement of deposit repricing progress, and the supervision of manual interest payment and interbank liabilities, it is expected that the decline of interest margin will be slightly narrowed in 2025. In terms of asset quality, it is expected to remain stable, the policy will continue to exert its efforts to bottom out risks, the core indicators are expected to remain stable, and the provision is expected to continue to feed back the profit level. On the whole, it is estimated that the overall net profit growth rate of listed banks will be 1.0% in 2025. The idea of stock selection is "high dividend+pro-cyclical", and policy combination boxing promotes the repair of plate valuation.
Morgan Stanley Xing Ziqiang: China can fully withstand the improvement of the central financial deficit ratio. On December 13th, Xing Ziqiang, chief economist of Morgan Stanley China, said at the "Caijing Annual Meeting 2025: Forecast and Strategy" and the 2024 Global Wealth Management Forum that the Central Economic Work Conference broke the previous mindset of fiscal prudence. It is predicted that the budget of deficit ratio will reach a higher level next year, and may even exceed the level of 2020 (above 3.6%). With China's relatively strong national balance sheet, it can fully withstand the relatively high deficit ratio of the central government. Most other countries in the world have abandoned the so-called deficit ratio constraint of around 3% after facing the downturn of the real estate market and other factors.Turkish President: It will crack down on organizations such as the PKK in Syria. The Information Bureau of the Turkish Presidential Office issued a statement on the early morning of the 13th, saying that Turkish President Erdogan said that Turkey would take "preventive measures" for national security and crack down on all "terrorist organizations" such as the PKK in Syria.Shaanxi experts took the lead in formulating the first Expert Consensus on Clinical Operation of Micro-apical Surgery in China. Recently, according to the news from the Stomatological Hospital of Air Force Military Medical University, Yu Qing, a professor of dental endodontics in this hospital, led by top experts from more than 10 well-known domestic hospitals, including Peking University Stomatological Hospital, West China Stomatological Hospital of Sichuan University and Ninth People's Hospital affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, successfully formulated the first Expert Consensus on Clinical Operation of Micro-apical Surgery in China in three years.
Faraday Future announced today that it has delivered FF 91 2.0 Futurist Alliance to supermodel and designer Suede Brooks. FF executives attended the delivery ceremony and discussed with Suede about the co-creation of future technology and design fashion. Matthias Aydt, global CEO of FF, Jia Yueting, founder and chief product and user ecologist of FF, and Sue Neuhauser, head of FF design, attended the event and delivered the new car to Suede.Singapore iron ore futures fell 2.4%, almost erasing the gains this week."Black Myth: Wukong" won two TGA awards and is competing for the best game of the year. On December 13th, the reporter learned that at the TGA(The Game Awards)2024 award ceremony, the domestic game "Black Myth: Wukong" won the best action game and the player's voice award, and the best game award is in the competition. Jiang Baicun, the director of the planning of Black Myth: Wukong, said in his acceptance speech: "It is a great honor to win this award. First of all, I want to thank every player. It is your support that makes such an oriental myth about courage and wisdom shine on such a stage. I also want to thank the organizers for not setting up an' air wall' during my coming to power." (Dahe Finance Cube)